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Making hours-ahead price forecasts more accurate
Closed
21 Feb – 04 Apr 2017
15 submissions received (view submissions)
The Authority is seeking feedback from interested parties on the Making hours-ahead price forecasts more accurate consultation paper.
We have been considering ways to improve the accuracy of prices in the forecast schedules available up to 36 hours in advance of real-time. This is one of two spot market refinements we are exploring (the other is real-time pricing).
We expect that making hours-ahead forecast prices more accurate would encourage more efficient demand-response and generation scheduling. This would promote all three limbs of the Authority’s statutory objective. It would promote efficient short-term (that is, operational) decisions about demand-side participation and generation dispatch. Longer term, it would improve decisions about generation investment and retirement, as well as promoting retail innovation and confidence in the wholesale market.
Consultation Papers
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Download a ZIP file containing all documents
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Appendices B to E
Appendices-B-E.pdf (PDF, 1.9 MB)
Last updated: 22 February 2017
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Appendix A - Format for submissions
Appendix-A-Format-for-submissions.DOCX (DOCX, 19 KB)
Last updated: 22 February 2017
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Consultation paper - Making hours-ahead price forecasts more accurate
Improve-information-leading-into-real-time.pdf (PDF, 998 KB)
Last updated: 22 February 2017
Summary of submissions
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Decision paper - making price forecasts more accurate
Price-forecasts-decision-paper.pdf (PDF, 547 KB)
Last updated: 15 August 2017
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Summary of submissions - making price forecasts more accurate
Price-forecasts-Summary-of-Submissions.pdf (PDF, 313 KB)
Last updated: 15 August 2017
Submissions
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EPOC
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Flick Energy
Flick-Energy.pdf (PDF, 137 KB)
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Genesis Energy
Genesis-Energy.pdf (PDF, 89 KB)
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Major Electricity Users' Group
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Mercury
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Meridian Energy
Meridian-Energy.pdf (PDF, 258 KB)
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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New Zealand Steel
New-Zealand-Steel.pdf (PDF, 203 KB)
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Nova Energy
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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NZX
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Orion Energy
Orion-Energy.pdf (PDF, 417 KB)
Last updated: 11 April 2017
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Assessment of real time pricing (RTP) options
Closed
12 Apr – 24 May 2016
15 submissions received (view submissions)
We’ve published a consultation paper seeking views on options to improve spot pricing arrangements in the wholesale electricity market. At present, the pricing manager does not determine and publish final spot prices for a trading period until at least two days later. We have considered options under which final spot prices would be determined before, during, or just after the trading period.
We have developed four options to a conceptual level, two of which (dispatch-based prices and 5-minute ‘look behind’ prices) we expect would deliver net benefits compared with current arrangements.
If one of these options was adopted, it would replace the current method for calculating spot prices. Our assessment suggests dispatch-based pricing would deliver greater net benefit to consumers than the other options we considered.
We are seeking submissions to decide whether to explore real-time pricing in more detail and, if so, which option to develop further. If we consider that a real-time pricing option is consistent with our statutory objective, we will prepare a formal proposal to amend the Electricity Industry Participation Code 2010 (Code), for consultation in the 2016/17 financial year.
If we decide to adopt real-time pricing, we expect it would take more than two years to implement.
Consultation Papers
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Download a ZIP file containing all documents
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Appendix C: System Operator TASC Report - Real Time Pricing
TASC54-Real-Time-Pricing-Final-Report.pdf (PDF, 1.6 MB)
Last updated: 12 April 2016
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Consultation paper - Assessment of real time pricing options
Assessment-of-RTP-options.pdf (PDF, 689 KB)
Last updated: 12 April 2016
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Cost benefit analysis
CBA-for-real-time-pricing.XLSX (XLSX, 34 KB)
Last updated: 12 April 2016
Summary of submissions
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Decision - Real-time pricing options
Decision-real-time-pricing-options.pdf (PDF, 283 KB)
Last updated: 09 August 2016
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Summary of submissions
Summary-of-subs-real-time-pricing.pdf (PDF, 189 KB)
Last updated: 09 August 2016
Submissions
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Download a ZIP file containing all documents
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Contact Energy
Contact-Energy.pdf (PDF, 81 KB)
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Energy Link
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Flick Energy
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Genesis Energy
Genesis-Energy.pdf (PDF, 51 KB)
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Major Electricity Users' Group
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Meridian Energy
Meridian-Energy.PDF (PDF, 209 KB)
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Mighty River Power
Mighty-River-Power.pdf (PDF, 98 KB)
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Molly Melhuish
Molly-Melhuish.pdf (PDF, 27 KB)
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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Nova Energy
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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NZ Energy
Last updated: 14 June 2016
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